Lightning 1, Rangers 4 — October 13, 2026: recap and analysis
Final
1—4
Oct 13, 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4. Rangers dominated expected goals 2.77 to 2.25. 1 empty-net goal padded the final margin. PuckLab's first star: Dylan Garand (25/26 saves, .962 SV%, +1.2 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Lightning, 52% (lost).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETBL xG
2.25
ACTUAL
1 — 4
NYR xG
2.77
Empty-net goals are marked but add no xG.
Scoring Timeline
0.19
HIGH xG
1P 01:02Even Strength
13
TBL 0 - 1 NYR
0.25
HIGH xG
1P 12:47Even Strength13
TBL 0 - 2 NYR
0.13
HIGH xG
1P 17:26Even Strength
28
TBL 1 - 2 NYR
0.07
MED xG
2P 18:26Even Strength
50
TBL 1 - 3 NYR
3P 17:16Short-handedEN
93
TBL 1 - 4 NYR
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
TBLNYR
26Shots23
2.25xGF2.77
59.25v5 CF%40.8
38.9FO%61.1
0/4PP0/4
22Hits37
12Blocks14
17Giveaways15
2Takeaways3
13PIM13
Period Breakdown
| Period | TBL SOG | NYR SOG | TBL xG | NYR xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | 8 | 0.77 | 1.31 |
| 2nd | 9 | 9 | 0.95 | 0.71 |
| 3rd | 8 | 6 | 0.53 | 0.75 |
| Total | 26 | 23 | 2.25 | 2.77 |