Lightning 5, Islanders 3 — October 10, 2026: recap and analysis
Final
5—3
Oct 10, 2026 · UBS Arena
Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 5, New York Islanders 3. Lightning dominated expected goals 2.53 to 2.50. 1 empty-net goal padded the final margin. PuckLab's first star: Brandon Hagel (3G, 1A, 6 SOG, 3 HIT). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Lightning, 67% (won).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETBL xG
2.53
ACTUAL
5 — 3
NYI xG
2.50
Empty-net goals are marked but add no xG.
Scoring Timeline
0.21
HIGH xG
1P 15:42Even Strength
38
TBL 2 - 0 NYI
0.23
HIGH xG
2P 07:54Power Play
59
TBL 3 - 1 NYI
0.19
HIGH xG
2P 11:41Even Strength
44
TBL 3 - 2 NYI
0.65
HIGH xG
2P 19:53Power Play
10
TBL 3 - 3 NYI
0.03
LOW xG
3P 18:16Even Strength38
TBL 4 - 3 NYI
3P 18:37Even StrengthEN38
TBL 5 - 3 NYI
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
TBLNYI
26Shots23
2.53xGF2.50
48.85v5 CF%51.2
49.0FO%51.0
1/4PP1/2
18Hits30
14Blocks16
14Giveaways18
5Takeaways2
9PIM13
Period Breakdown
| Period | TBL SOG | NYI SOG | TBL xG | NYI xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | 4 | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| 2nd | 8 | 10 | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| 3rd | 8 | 9 | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| Total | 26 | 23 | 2.53 | 2.50 |