Lightning 8, Sabres 3 — November 11, 2026: recap and analysis
Final
8—3
Nov 11, 2026 · KeyBank Center
Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 8, Buffalo Sabres 3. Lightning dominated expected goals 3.58 to 3.37. PuckLab's first star: Andrei Vasilevskiy (28/31 saves, .903 SV%, +0.4 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Lightning, 61% (won).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETBL xG
3.58
ACTUAL
8 — 3
BUF xG
3.37
Scoring Timeline
0.46
HIGH xG
1P 18:49Even Strength
49
TBL 1 - 0 BUF
0.16
HIGH xG
1P 19:38Power Play
74
TBL 2 - 0 BUF
0.38
HIGH xG
2P 04:33Even Strength
38
TBL 3 - 0 BUF
0.25
HIGH xG
2P 13:02Even Strength
37
TBL 4 - 0 BUF
0.39
HIGH xG
2P 15:54Power Play
91
TBL 4 - 1 BUF
0.09
MED xG
2P 19:32Even Strength
17
TBL 4 - 2 BUF
0.03
LOW xG
3P 00:33Even Strength
72
TBL 4 - 3 BUF
0.24
HIGH xG
3P 01:25Even Strength
86
TBL 5 - 3 BUF
0.15
HIGH xG
3P 04:11Even Strength86
TBL 6 - 3 BUF
0.10
HIGH xG
3P 14:13Power Play86
TBL 7 - 3 BUF
0.12
HIGH xG
3P 15:06Even Strength38
TBL 8 - 3 BUF
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
TBLBUF
22Shots31
3.58xGF3.37
32.95v5 CF%67.1
51.5FO%48.5
2/4PP1/3
33Hits17
10Blocks4
17Giveaways13
1Takeaways0
8PIM10
Period Breakdown
| Period | TBL SOG | BUF SOG | TBL xG | BUF xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | 9 | 1.81 | 0.67 |
| 2nd | 4 | 7 | 0.82 | 1.47 |
| 3rd | 9 | 15 | 0.96 | 1.23 |
| Total | 22 | 31 | 3.58 | 3.37 |