Lightning 4, Wild 3 (OT) — November 7, 2026: recap and analysis
Final/OT
4—3
Nov 7, 2026 · Grand Casino Arena
Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Minnesota Wild 3. Decided in overtime. Lightning dominated expected goals 4.10 to 2.18. Lightning controlled 71.1% of 5v5 shot attempts. PuckLab's first star: Calvin Pickard (30/34 saves, .882 SV%, −0.7 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Wild, 56% (lost).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETBL xG
4.10
ACTUAL
4 — 3
MIN xG
2.18
Scoring Timeline
0.05
MED xG
1P 00:55Even Strength
20
TBL 0 - 1 MIN
0.18
HIGH xG
1P 02:58Power Play
49
TBL 0 - 2 MIN
0.06
MED xG
2P 16:34Power Play
59
TBL 1 - 2 MIN
0.12
HIGH xG
3P 13:44Even Strength59
TBL 2 - 3 MIN
0.07
MED xG
3P 16:29Power Play
51
TBL 3 - 3 MIN
0.09
MED xG
OT 03:23Power Play
86
TBL 4 - 3 MIN
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
TBLMIN
34Shots22
4.10xGF2.18
71.15v5 CF%28.9
56.7FO%43.3
3/6PP1/3
19Hits21
10Blocks22
12Giveaways11
6Takeaways4
13PIM19
Period Breakdown
| Period | TBL SOG | MIN SOG | TBL xG | MIN xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | 8 | 1.39 | 0.57 |
| 2nd | 10 | 7 | 1.05 | 0.55 |
| 3rd | 12 | 5 | 1.30 | 0.53 |
| OT | 3 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.53 |
| Total | 34 | 22 | 4.10 | 2.18 |
Penalties
13 TOTAL1P 01:46
TeamToo many men on the ice (2 min)