Lightning 4, Predators 5 (SO) — October 31, 2026: recap and analysis

TBLTBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
8-3-1 · W1 · L10: 7-2-1
W
OT
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
Final/SO
4—5
Oct 31, 2026 · Bridgestone Arena
NSHNSH
Nashville Predators
4-4-5 · L1 · L10: 3-3-4
L
SO
W
OT
L
W
SO
L
SO
W

Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5. Decided in a shootout. Predators dominated expected goals 4.09 to 2.88. PuckLab's first star: Andrei Vasilevskiy (29/33 saves, .879 SV%, 0.0 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Lightning, 66% (lost).

xG Flow

CUMULATIVE
012341ST2ND3RDOT
TBL xG
2.88
ACTUAL
4 — 5
NSH xG
4.09

Scoring Timeline

0.11
HIGH xG
NSH1P 11:14Even Strength
TBL 0 - 1 NSH
0.02
LOW xG
TBL1P 13:38Even Strength
TBL 1 - 1 NSH
0.05
MED xG
TBL2P 00:18Even Strength
TBL 2 - 1 NSH
0.15
HIGH xG
NSH2P 00:45Even Strength
TBL 2 - 2 NSH
0.11
HIGH xG
TBL2P 03:23Even Strength
TBL 3 - 2 NSH
0.04
LOW xG
NSH2P 19:42Even Strength
TBL 3 - 3 NSH
0.15
HIGH xG
TBL3P 03:31Even Strength
Conor Geekie
94
TBL 4 - 3 NSH
0.33
HIGH xG
NSH3P 07:27Power Play
TBL 4 - 4 NSH

Three Stars

PUCKLAB PICKS
★1
Andrei Vasilevskiy
88
Andrei Vasilevskiy
G · TBL · #88
29/33 saves, .879 SV%, 0.0 GSAX
★2
Justus Annunen
29
Justus Annunen
G · NSH · #29
22/26 saves, .846 SV%, −0.8 GSAX
★3
Nikita Kucherov
86
Nikita Kucherov
R · TBL · #86
3A, 1 SOG, 1 HIT

Team Stats

TBLNSH
26Shots33
2.88xGF4.09
45.25v5 CF%54.8
46.9FO%53.1
0/3PP1/3
19Hits17
24Blocks15
12Giveaways9
3Takeaways2
6PIM6

Period Breakdown

PeriodTBL SOGNSH SOGTBL xGNSH xG
1st670.781.19
2nd10100.840.79
3rd7130.891.70
OT330.360.41
Total26332.884.09

Penalties

6 TOTAL
1P 06:23
TBL
J.J. MoserTripping (2 min)
Drawn by Matthew Wood
2P 13:01
NSH
Jack DruryHooking (2 min)
Drawn by Brayden Point
3P 01:06
NSH
Ryan O'ReillyTripping (2 min)
Drawn by Anthony Cirelli
3P 07:05
TBL
Scott SabourinHooking (2 min)
Drawn by Nick Perbix
3P 11:05
TBL
Ilya MikheyevHooking (2 min)
Drawn by Alexander Kerfoot
3P 17:03
NSH
Adam WilsbyDelay of game (puck over glass) (2 min)

Lineups