Lightning 3, Avalanche 6 — October 23, 2026: recap and analysis

TBLTBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · W3 · L10: 7-2-0
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
Final
3—6
Oct 23, 2026 · Ball Arena
COLCOL
Colorado Avalanche
5-4-1 · L2 · L10: 5-4-1
L
L
W
SO
W
L
W
L
W
W

Final score: Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6. Avalanche won with fewer expected goals, 2.41 to 3.80. 1 empty-net goal padded the final margin. PuckLab's first star: Mackenzie Blackwood (31/34 saves, .912 SV%, +1.4 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Lightning, 51% (lost).

xG Flow

CUMULATIVE
012341ST2ND3RD
TBL xG
3.80
ACTUAL
3 — 6
COL xG
2.41
Empty-net goals are marked but add no xG.

Scoring Timeline

0.04
MED xG
COL1P 01:08Even Strength
TBL 0 - 1 COL
0.12
HIGH xG
COL1P 05:52Power Play
TBL 0 - 2 COL
0.05
MED xG
COL2P 00:24Even Strength
TBL 0 - 3 COL
0.16
HIGH xG
TBL2P 08:13Power Play
TBL 1 - 3 COL
0.12
HIGH xG
COL2P 13:57Even Strength
TBL 1 - 4 COL
0.51
HIGH xG
TBL2P 19:17Even Strength
TBL 2 - 4 COL
0.13
HIGH xG
COL3P 04:18Even Strength
TBL 2 - 5 COL
0.20
HIGH xG
TBL3P 15:13Even Strength
TBL 3 - 5 COL
COL3P 17:19Even StrengthEN
TBL 3 - 6 COL

Three Stars

PUCKLAB PICKS
★1
Mackenzie Blackwood
39
Mackenzie Blackwood
G · COL · #39
31/34 saves, .912 SV%, +1.4 GSAX
★2
Nathan MacKinnon
29
Nathan MacKinnon
C · COL · #29
1G, 3A, 4 SOG
★3
Jake Guentzel
59
Jake Guentzel
C · TBL · #59
2G, 7 SOG, 3 HIT

Team Stats

TBLCOL
34Shots24
3.80xGF2.41
61.55v5 CF%38.5
59.4FO%40.6
1/6PP1/3
30Hits16
12Blocks19
18Giveaways16
3Takeaways7
8PIM14

Period Breakdown

PeriodTBL SOGCOL SOGTBL xGCOL xG
1st1291.141.02
2nd1581.960.95
3rd770.700.44
Total34243.802.41

Penalties

11 TOTAL
1P 05:09
TBL
Brandon HagelTripping (2 min)
Drawn by Brock Nelson
1P 11:27
TBL
Jake GuentzelUnsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
2P 03:04
COL
Logan O'ConnorGoaltender interference (2 min)
Drawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy
2P 08:00
COL
Sam MalinskiRoughing (2 min)
Drawn by Dominic James
2P 08:00
TBL
Dominic JamesRoughing (2 min)
Drawn by Sam Malinski
2P 08:00
COL
Taylor MakarTripping (2 min)
Drawn by Conor Geekie
2P 10:49
COL
Artturi LehkonenTripping (2 min)
Drawn by Pontus Holmberg
2P 17:17
COL
TeamToo many men on the ice (2 min)
2P 19:17
COL
TeamDelay of game (unsuccessful challenge) (2 min)
3P 04:59
TBL
Charle-Edouard D'AstousCross-checking (2 min)
Drawn by Parker Kelly
3P 10:58
COL
Devon ToewsHolding (2 min)
Drawn by Conor Geekie

Lineups