Sabres 5, Maple Leafs 4 (OT) — October 15, 2026: recap and analysis
Final/OT
5—4
Oct 15, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena
Final score: Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4. Decided in overtime. Sabres dominated expected goals 3.07 to 2.98. Sabres controlled 55.2% of 5v5 shot attempts. PuckLab's first star: Jack Quinn (2G, 2A, 4 SOG). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Maple Leafs, 56% (lost).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVEBUF xG
3.07
ACTUAL
5 — 4
TOR xG
2.98
Scoring Timeline
0.15
HIGH xG
1P 03:35Even Strength
22
BUF 1 - 1 TOR
0.16
HIGH xG
1P 13:10Power Play
86
BUF 1 - 2 TOR
0.10
MED xG
2P 02:41Even Strength22
BUF 2 - 2 TOR
0.16
HIGH xG
2P 16:51Even Strength86
BUF 2 - 4 TOR
0.03
LOW xG
3P 10:05Even Strength
44
BUF 3 - 4 TOR
0.19
HIGH xG
OT 03:14Even Strength
25
BUF 5 - 4 TOR
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
BUFTOR
35Shots30
3.07xGF2.98
55.25v5 CF%44.8
43.9FO%56.1
0/2PP1/3
21Hits25
4Blocks10
17Giveaways20
5Takeaways4
13PIM11
Period Breakdown
| Period | BUF SOG | TOR SOG | BUF xG | TOR xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | 15 | 0.67 | 1.39 |
| 2nd | 13 | 11 | 1.30 | 1.24 |
| 3rd | 12 | 4 | 0.54 | 0.24 |
| OT | 2 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.11 |
| Total | 35 | 30 | 3.07 | 2.98 |