Maple Leafs 6, Avalanche 3 — October 10, 2026: recap and analysis
Final
6—3
Oct 10, 2026 · Ball Arena
Final score: Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 3. Maple Leafs won with fewer expected goals, 2.39 to 4.74. 1 empty-net goal padded the final margin. PuckLab's first star: Sergei Bobrovsky (30/33 saves, .909 SV%, +2.2 GSAX). Pre-game PuckLab Edge: Avalanche, 83% (lost).
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETOR xG
2.39
ACTUAL
6 — 3
COL xG
4.74
Empty-net goals are marked but add no xG.
Scoring Timeline
0.38
HIGH xG
1P 03:03Even Strength
3
TOR 1 - 0 COL
0.09
MED xG
1P 10:46Even Strength
29
TOR 1 - 1 COL
0.06
MED xG
1P 15:14Even Strength29
TOR 1 - 2 COL
0.24
HIGH xG
2P 06:53Power Play
88
TOR 2 - 2 COL
0.13
HIGH xG
2P 16:47Even Strength88
TOR 3 - 3 COL
0.15
HIGH xG
2P 17:33Even Strength
53
TOR 4 - 3 COL
0.14
HIGH xG
3P 12:02Power Play
34
TOR 5 - 3 COL
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS
Team Stats
TORCOL
23Shots33
2.39xGF4.74
39.85v5 CF%60.2
46.9FO%53.1
2/4PP0/5
22Hits16
22Blocks10
10Giveaways15
5Takeaways6
12PIM10
Period Breakdown
| Period | TOR SOG | COL SOG | TOR xG | COL xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | 11 | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| 2nd | 4 | 13 | 0.80 | 2.12 |
| 3rd | 11 | 9 | 0.65 | 1.56 |
| Total | 23 | 33 | 2.39 | 4.74 |