TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
49-25-6 · W1 · L10: 5-4-1
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
Final
4—5
2026-02-26 · Lenovo Center
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
52-22-6 · W3 · L10: 7-3-0
W
W
W
OT
W
W
SO
W
W
W
CAR dominated expected goals 3.9 to 3.4
xG Flow
CUMULATIVETBL xG
3.35
ACTUAL
4 — 5
CAR xG
3.89
Scoring Timeline
0.04
LOW xG
27
Nikolaj Ehlers(15)
L · CAR · #27
K'Andre Miller (20), Jordan Martinook (12)TBL 0 - 1 CAR
0.13
HIGH xG
22
Logan Stankoven(11)
C · CAR · #22
Taylor Hall (16), Jalen Chatfield (13)TBL 0 - 2 CAR
1.04
HIGH xG
71
Taylor Hall(13)
L · CAR · #71
Jackson Blake (18), Logan Stankoven (16)TBL 0 - 3 CAR
0.07
MED xG
38
Brandon Hagel(28)
L · TBL · #38
Scott Sabourin (3), Jake Guentzel (35)TBL 1 - 3 CAR
0.07
MED xG
86
Nikita Kucherov(31)
R · TBL · #86
Brayden Point (21), J.J. Moser (15)TBL 2 - 3 CAR
0.11
HIGH xG
Dominic James(6)
C · TBL
Jake Guentzel (36), Ryan McDonagh (7)TBL 3 - 3 CAR
0.08
MED xG
24
Seth Jarvis(26)
C · CAR · #24
Andrei Svechnikov (29), Mark Jankowski (9)TBL 3 - 4 CAR
0.23
HIGH xG
21
Brayden Point(14)
C · TBL · #21
Jake Guentzel (37), Darren Raddysh (36)TBL 4 - 4 CAR
0.03
LOW xG
20
Sebastian Aho(21)
C · CAR · #20
Seth Jarvis (19), Andrei Svechnikov (30)TBL 4 - 5 CAR
Three Stars
PUCKLAB PICKS★1
30
Brandon Bussi
G · CAR · #30
24/28 saves, .857 SV%, -0.5 GSAx
★2
31
Jonas Johansson
G · TBL · #31
28/33 saves, .848 SV%, -2.1 GSAx
★3
59
Jake Guentzel
C · TBL · #59
3A, 4 SOG, 1 HIT
Team Stats
TBLCAR
28Shots33
3.35xGF3.89
48.9CF%51.1
55.4FO%44.6
1/2PP1/2
15Hits23
20Blocks16
20Giveaways20
6Takeaways7
4PIM4
Period Breakdown
| Period | TBL SOG | CAR SOG | TBL xG | CAR xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | 10 | 1.15 | 1.99 |
| 2nd | 9 | 9 | 0.97 | 0.36 |
| 3rd | 6 | 9 | 1.24 | 1.54 |
| Total | 24 | 28 | 3.36 | 3.89 |
Penalties
4 TOTAL2P 13:56
Sebastian Ahoholding-the-stick (2 min)
Drawn by Nikita Kucherov2P 15:33
Nikita Kucherovslashing (2 min)
Drawn by Andrei Svechnikov3P 02:34
Jackson Blakeholding (2 min)
Drawn by Declan Carlile3P 06:43
Gage Goncalvestripping (2 min)
Drawn by K'Andre Miller